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More podcasts on 2023 AI survey: Cognitive Revolution and FLI
Two new discussions of the 2023 ESPAI: Possibly I have a podcasting facial expression. (If you want to listen in on more chatting about this survey, see…
Mar 27
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Katja Grace
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More podcasts on 2023 AI survey: Cognitive Revolution and FLI
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New social credit formalizations
Here are some classic ways humans can get some kind of social credit with other humans: 1. Do something for them such that they will consider themselves…
Mar 11
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Katja Grace
6
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New social credit formalizations
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Podcast: Eye4AI on 2023 Survey
I talked to Tim Elsom of Eye4AI about the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI (paper):
Mar 8
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Katja Grace
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Podcast: Eye4AI on 2023 Survey
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Movie posters
Life involves anticipations. Hopes, dreads, lookings forward. Looking forward and hoping seem pretty nice, but people are often wary of them, because…
Mar 6
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Katja Grace
13
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Movie posters
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Are we so good to simulate?
If you believe that,— a) a civilization like ours is likely to survive into technological incredibleness, and b) a technologically incredible…
Mar 4
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Katja Grace
8
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Are we so good to simulate?
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February 2024
Shaming with and without naming
Suppose someone wrongs you and you want to emphatically mar their reputation, but only insofar as doing so is conducive to the best utilitarian…
Feb 23
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Katja Grace
2
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Shaming with and without naming
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Parasocial relationship logic
If: You become like the five people you spend the most time with (or something remotely like that) The people who are most extremal in good ways tend to…
Feb 20
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Katja Grace
7
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Parasocial relationship logic
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Deep and obvious points in the gap between your thoughts and your pictures of thought
Some ideas feel either deep or extremely obvious. You’ve heard some trite truism your whole life, then one day an epiphany lands and you try to save it…
Feb 16
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Katja Grace
12
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Deep and obvious points in the gap between your thoughts and your pictures of thought
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January 2024
Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures
The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is out, this time with 2778 participants from six top AI venues (up from about 700 and two in the 2022 ESPAI…
Published on AI Impacts blog
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Jan 5
November 2023
I put odds on ends with Nathan Young
I forgot to post this in August when we did it, so one might hope it would be out of date now but luckily/sadly my understanding of things is…
Nov 7, 2023
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Katja Grace
1
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I put odds on ends with Nathan Young
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A to Z of things
I wanted to give my good friends’ baby a book, in honor of her existence. And I recalled children’s books being an exciting genre. Yet checking in on…
Nov 3, 2023
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Katja Grace
10
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A to Z of things
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The other side of the tidal wave
I guess there's maybe a 10-20% chance of AI causing human extinction in the coming decades, but I feel more distressed about it than even that…
Nov 3, 2023
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Katja Grace
20
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The other side of the tidal wave
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